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- <text id=93HT1139>
- <title>
- 80 Election: Scramble for Black Votes
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1980 Election
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- August 18, 1980
- NATION
- Scramble for Black Votes
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>They could swing the election
- </p>
- <p>By Frank B. Merrick. Reported by Larry Barrett/New York
- </p>
- <p> The candidate for President stood last week in a rubble-
- strewn lot in one of New York City's worst ghettos. Behind him,
- on the wall of a rundown tenement, was a one-word message of
- despair in orange paint: DECAY. On another nearby building was a
- scrawled reminder of what the neighborhood had received from
- white politicians in the past: BROKEN PROMISES. The candidate
- read a brief statement to reporters. Said he: "I'm impressed with
- the spirit of hope and determination by the people to save what
- they have." Hecklers in a crowd of 70 young black and Hispanic
- onlookers shouted: "Do something for us! Help us! Speak to the
- people, not the press!" But as he tried to speak to the crowd, he
- was drowned out by obscenities and chants. The candidate grew
- angry. "What I'm trying to tell you," he shouted above the din,
- "is I can't do a damn thing for you if I'm not elected."
- </p>
- <p> The candidate in the angry confrontation happened to be
- Republican Ronald Reagan. But much of the bitterness directed at
- him, particularly by the blacks, could have as easily been aimed
- at Democrat Jimmy Carter or Independent John Anderson or even, in
- some areas, Senator Edward Kennedy.
- </p>
- <p> Black voters, who make up 11% of the U.S. electorate, feel
- increasingly left out of the American economic system and
- political process. Since 1964, when a record 59% of black voters
- went to the polls, the turnout has steadily shrunk; in 1976, it
- was only 49%. "It is informed apathy," says Columbus Keepler,
- field services director for the Atlanta-based Voter Education
- Project, which was in the forefront of the Southern voter
- registration drives of the 1960s. "Many people voted once or
- twice and didn't see anything happen, so they don't vote any
- more." But as Carter showed in 1976, even a small black turnout
- can be important. He drew 90% of the 6.6 million black votes
- cast, which helped tip several key Southern and Northern
- industrial states into his column, including Ohio, Pennsylvania
- and Texas.
- </p>
- <p> However small and skeptical, the black vote also could be a
- key factor in the coming election, and it was the object of
- ardent wooing last week by all four candidates. The courtship
- occurred most directly in the regal grand ballroom of the New
- York Hilton, site of the annual convention of the National Urban
- League, which for 70 years has helped blacks to get jobs, housing
- and education.
- </p>
- <p> In three days of speeches, none of the politicians made any
- new promises or said much that had not been heard before by the
- generally reserved audience of 16,000, most of whom were middle-
- aged and middle class. Anderson was regarded as a curiosity; few
- in the crowd considered him to be viable candidate. Kennedy
- stirred some enthusiasm when he recalled his two decades of
- involvement in civil rights fights. Of unemployment in America,
- both black and white, Kennedy said: "The only truly Democratic
- response can be summed up in three short words: jobs, jobs,
- jobs."
- </p>
- <p> Carter was also warmly applauded several times. He reminded
- the audience of one of his favorite statistics: he has appointed
- more blacks, Hispanics and women to federal judgeships than all
- other U.S. Presidents combined. Carter too made a vague vow to
- plug for more jobs, saying that he would soon unveil an economic
- recovery plan that will "restore growth and reduce unemployment."
- The two Democrats focused their heaviest fire on Ronald Reagan.
- Kennedy reminded the audience that in the past, Reagan has
- opposed equal employment opportunity and unemployment
- compensation. Carter slashingly attacked Reagan's economic
- program, which would cut federal income tax rates by 30% over
- three years, as "sugar-coated poison" that would disastrously
- kick up inflation.
- </p>
- <p> The attacks on Reagan reflected the Democrats' growing
- apprehensions about a change in Republican campaign strategy. For
- the first time in twelve years Reagan is courting black votes. He
- and his strategists hardly believe he is the Republican who will
- bring blacks back to the party of Lincoln, but they are
- nonetheless going to work hard to attract them. More important,
- Reagan's aides feel that by visibly reaching out to blacks,
- Reagan will soften his image with white moderate Republicans,
- independents and disaffected Democrats, who regard him as an
- uncaring conservative.
- </p>
- <p> But Reagan has no intention of abandoning his hard-core
- supporters. Before going to New York, he defended "states'
- rights" at the Neshoba County Fair in Philadelphia, Miss., where
- three young civil rights workers were murdered in 1954. Some
- 10,000 people, nearly all of them white, cheered lustily in
- response.
- </p>
- <p> Two days later, Reagan had a sharply different message for
- the Urban League. He asked his listeners to set aside their
- misconceptions of him as "anti-poor, anti-black and anti-
- disadvantaged...a caricatured conservative." But Reagan's
- carefully crafted speech touched on virtually no black concerns
- other than economics. Indeed, to the amusement of some
- participants, he inadvertently picked up Kennedy's refrain that
- the answers to black Americans' problems are "jobs, jobs, jobs."
- Reagan's way of creating these jobs,
- of course, is far different from Kennedy's. Rather than
- Government programs, he would expand private employment by
- stimulating the economy with tax cuts. His speech drew applause
- but not the ovations accorded Kennedy and Carter as they stepped
- from the podium.
- </p>
- <p> Two hours after leaving the conference hall, Reagan was
- taken by limousine to the vacant lot in the South Bronx where
- Jimmy Carter in 1977 promised federal help to rehabilitate the
- neighborhood. Reagan intended only a brief, symbolic visit that
- would allow him to make the point that the Carter Administration
- never fulfilled its promise. Instead, the Californian wound up in
- the contentious debate, which he later skillfully turned to some
- advantage by telling reporters that if he lived in the South
- Bronx, he too would "build up a little impatience." Said Reagan:
- "There we were, driving away, and you think of them back there in
- all that ugliness. All that is before them is to sit and look at
- what we just saw."
- </p>
- <p> On his way home to California, Reagan stopped in Chicago for
- another bit of theater, this time a visit with Civil Rights
- Leader Jesse Jackson, a Carter supporter. Again, the basic plan
- backfired. After their private chat, Jackson escorted Reagan to
- his car. When they got within view of TV cameras, Jackson, an old
- showman himself, suddenly asked Reagan to repudiate the recent
- endorsement of him by the Ku Klux Klan. Reagan claimed ignorance
- of the endorsement (though it had been widely reported) and then
- said he had "no tolerance whatsoever for what the Klan
- represents."
- </p>
- <p> But Reagan had no way to recover from Jackson's second
- maneuver: giving reporters a detailed critique of the candidate's
- speech to the Urban League. Jackson rapped Reagan, who wants to
- transfer many federal functions to state and local governments,
- for not recognizing the fact that the Federal Government has been
- black America's chief bulwark against discrimination. Said
- Jackson: "For black people, 'states' rights' has historically
- meant 'states' wrongs.'"
- </p>
- <p> As Reagan ended the first week of trying to woo black
- voters, most remained deeply suspicious of him. Said Maxine
- Nickerson, a registered nurse and a member of the Los Angeles
- Urban League: "Deep down, I want to believe him, but I can't. All
- he wants is our votes." Blacks voiced similar doubts about Reagan
- in interviews with TIME correspondents across the country. Said
- Grace Hamilton, a Georgia state representative from Atlanta: "The
- very thought of Reagan makes my blood run cold."
- </p>
- <p> In this stormy political year, some black leaders, such as
- John Jacob, executive vice president of the Urban League, are
- claiming that the black vote "is up for grabs." That declaration,
- designed to coax the maximum amount of concessions from all the
- candidates, vastly overstates the case. If they had the chance,
- many blacks would back Ted Kennedy. Without the Senator on the
- ticket, they would turn to Carter, but with far less enthusiasm.
- There is a strong feeling that Carter promised much and delivered
- little. Indeed, among the hardest hit by Carter's anti-inflation
- fight have been urban blacks, many of whom have lost their jobs
- in the recession.
- </p>
- <p> "If Carter is the nominee, blacks will not vote in large
- numbers," warned Willie Brown, a black California state
- representative. Said Vernon Jarrett, a black columnist for the
- Chicago tribune: "His biggest problem is generating the extra
- push in the black community that will make a difference."
- </p>
- <p> The severity of Carter's problem was shown by a recent
- Harris poll. The President led Reagan among blacks, but his
- approval rating was only 50% (vs. 19% for Reagan, 24% for
- Anderson). The poll was an early indication that Reagan may
- indeed have a chance of picking up enough black votes to have a
- major effect if the election is close.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
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